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Digital Intelligence
The monthly review of new research and developments in digital marketing

April 2008

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Digital Strategy Consulting


As the e-retail economy forges ahead, this month's summary of new research reports upbeat figures for the US and UK, along with a similar lifts in online advertising in spite of the wider concerns about the ad market.

Opinion polls suggest a gradual change in consumer attitudes towards some of the more advanced forms of targeting, endorsing the strong financial results from leading media owners such as Google and Yahoo, as well as middle tier UK publishers.

There's more on the click-throughs we've added, with deeper commentary in our Digital Insight Reports.


Best from all @ Digital


Danny Meadows-Klue
Founder and Chief Executive
Digital Strategy Consulting

 

Advertising

UK online adspend grew 38% during 2007
Online adspend in the UK grew 38% last year to reach £2.813bn - an annual increase of £797m. The figures, from the latest PricewaterhouseCoopers/IAB study, saw online spend break £750m in a single quarter. Search advertising grew £345m to reach £1.6bn (57.6% of the total), display advertising rose 31% to 592m, while classified advertising was up 54% reaching £585.3m. The study confirms the UK's position as the largest online advertising market in Europe with over 15% of all British advertising now online.
IAB UK: http://www.iabuk.net

Preview ReportRead Digital's commentary and analysis of the latest IAB UK / PricewaterhouseCoopers market study »

Digital Insight ReportsProfiling the world's leading digital ad economy
The switch to online advertising has not slowed down in Europe's largest digital media market. Online ad budgets continued to grow around 40% year-on-year, with the internet overtaking press classifieds for the first time and on course to overtake television in 2009. The sector now accounts for almost 16% of advertising spend and has risen by £2bn in three years. This Digital Insight Report draws upon data from the census of media owners managed by PricewaterhouseCoopers for the IAB, and provides our commentary on the market, both today and over the next three years.
Preview ReportPreview report

Advertising budgets tighten as economic confidence falters
The following story in the FT isn't unexpected, but it does have some uncomfortable implications for classic media and dotcoms alike. The Bellwether survey has been a pretty solid predictor of offline advertising trends in the past and the advertising budget are being cut for the second consecutive quarter. Only online escapes, with a net increase of 21 per cent.
The Financial Times: http://www.ft.com, 14/04/2008
IPA: http://www.ipa.co.uk

Behavioral advertising get a narrow thumbs up from consumers
Latest findings from Harris Interactive suggest that if privacy safeguards are in place, most consumers are okay with the ideas and models behind behavioural advertising targeting. With 15% of UK display inventory probably served through behavioural tools today, there's a lot riding on this. This type of targeting is key for giving a step-change in the precision of messaging for brands and an uplift in revenues to media owners who are running advertising funded content services. It's at the heart of the advertising models and the fact most US adults are uncomfortable that some websites use information about their online activity to shape web content and ad delivery will make uncomfortable reading for many publishers.
Key findings: 59% are not comfortable when sites such as Google, Yahoo and MSN use online activity to tailor ads or content, 25% are not at all comfortable, 34% are not very comfortable. The Harris Poll surveyed 2500 people in the US from March 11-18, 2008

Harris Interactive: http://www.harrisinteractive.com

Source: Harris Interactive
Harris Interactive: http://www.harrisinteractive.com

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Companies

Yahoo! beats expectations with Q1 revenues of $1.35bn

Yahoo! has posted Q1 revenues of $1.35bn (£681m), beating analyst expectations, writes the Financial Times. Income reached $542.2m (£271.5m) in total against $142.4m (£72m) in Q1 2007. However profits were boosted by a one-off gain of $401m (£202m) from the IPO of Chinese firm Alibaba.com.
It's been a busy month for Yahoo! which is still fighting off Microsoft's takeover bid:
  • At the start of April Yahoo! joined forces with Google in a two-week trial during which contextualised Google-served AdSense ads were displayed next to 3% of Yahoo! search results in the US. The two firms are now said to be close to finalising a permanent deal which some commentators predict could raise Yahoo's! cash flow by $1bn and operating profits by $500m (£250m) a year. (Brand Republic)
  • Yahoo! subsequently announced its new online ad management platform AMP, which has been designed to simplify the process behind creating, buying and selling ads. The system will allow advertisers to buy ads across search, display, local, mobile and video inventory over hundreds of publisher websites from a single interface and will begin roll-out during Q3. (Netimperative)
  • Following this, Yahoo! revealed it was buying Tensa Kft, better known as analytics provider IndexTools. (ClickZ)
  • Finally, Yahoo!-owned Flickr launched video-sharing for the first time. (The Telegraph)
  • Rumours also abound that Yahoo! is in talks with Time Warner to merge with AOL's internet assets. The unconfirmed deal would leave Time Warner with a 20% stake in the combined firm. Analysts however remain convinced that Microsoft is likely to win its bid, especially now that News Corp. may join its side to create a three-way merger.
    (Reuters)

The Financial Times: http://www.ft.com, 22/04/2008
Yahoo! UK: http://uk.yahoo.com

Revenues at Google up 42% year-on-year
Google has smashed analysts' expectations, with Q1 revenues of $5.19bn (£2.6bn), writes Brand Republic. The figures represent a year-on-year rise of 42% and an increase of 7% from the last quarter of 2007. Earnings rose 31% to reach $1.31bn (£656m). Google-owned sites generated $3.40bn (£1.71bn - up 49% from 2007), with international sales up 47% to $2.65bn (£1.34). UK revenues reached £402m.
Google also had other things to be happy about during the month:

  • According to new figures from ComScore the internet giant's share of the US search market grew from 59.2% to 59.8% during March (representing 6.44bn searches).
  • Millward Brown's annual BrandZ research again put Google top of the list of the world's most powerful brands, estimating its value at $86m (£43bn). The top five brands remained static from 2007: Google, General Electric, Microsoft, Coca-Cola and China Mobile.
  • A new study from Net Behaviour identified Google as the most popular website in Ireland with 78% of all Irish internet users visiting the site every month. Yahoo! came in second place (with 49%), followed by Air Lingus (with 48%).

Brand Republic: http://www.brandrepublic.com, 18/04/2008
Google: http://www.google.com

Source: Millward Brown Optimor (including data from brandz, Datamonitor, and Bloomberg)

*The brand value for Coca-Cola includes the values of both Coca-Cola and Coca-Cola Diets and Lites

Millward Brown Optimor: http://www.millwardbrown.com

AOL buys Sphere Source
AOL has bought contextual content service provider Sphere Source for $25m (£12.7m), writes Netimperative. Prior to the purchase AOL had partnered with Sphere to offer its widget technology on AOL News and myAOL. AOL intends to use Sphere to widen the content available on its own sites and to distribute its content more widely throughout Sphere's third-party publisher network. AOL will also gain access to Sphere's online advertising inventory.
From Netimperative: http://www.netimperative.com, 17/04/2008
Sphere: http://www.sphere.com

Quarterly sales jump 24% for eBay
eBay has raised its outlook for Q2 following a 24% year-on-year increase on Q1 results, writes ENN. The auction firm took $2.19bn (£1.10bn) during the first three months of the year, up $424m (£214) on the same period in 2007. Growth was mostly driven by eBay's Marketplaces division (up 19% to $1.48bn (£746m)), Paypal (up 32% to $582m (£294m)) and Skype (up 61% to $126m (£64m)). Net income for the quarter reached $460m (£232m) - up 22% from $377m (£190m) in 2007).
Following the results Skype announced the launch of a range of monthly flat-rate unlimited calling plans to fixed-line numbers. For £1.95/month users get unlimited calls to UK landlines; for £2.95/month they get unlimited calls to 20 European countries; and for £6.95/month they get unlimited calls to 34 countries worldwide. The new plans have been seen as a final attempt for eBay to make the most of its purchase of Skype. eBay has publically admitted that it may sell-off the internet phone service if it cannot find a better means of integrating the two businesses by the end of the year.
From ENN: http://www.electricnews.net, 17/04/2008
eBay: http://www.ebay.com

Facebook Chat goes live
Facebook has started the gradual roll-out in the UK of its previously announced instant messaging service Facebook Chat, writes Brand Republic. The service was first launched in the US at the start of the month. Facebook Chat is an internal IM service which lets users have written conversations with friends who are logged in at the same time.
From Brand Republic: http://www.brandrepublic.com, 23/04/2008
Facebook: http://www.facebook.com

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Online retail

Online retail on course for £45.5bn by 2012
New research from Verdict Research predicts that the British online retail sector will grow by over £20bn in the coming four years to reach £44.5bn or 13.6% of all retail, writes Brand Republic. The research forecasts that online retail will grow 32% during 2008 to reaching £19.5bn (equivalent to 6.7% of all retail). In comparison, offline sale are only predicted to rise 1.2% this year.
Brand Republic: http://www.brandrepublic.com, 15/04/2008

Verdict Research: http://www.verdict.co.uk

US online retail to grow 50% in the next five years
A new study by Forrester Research on behalf of Shop.org predicts that US online retail will grow 50% to reach $300bn (£151bn) by 2013, writes The Financial Times. The study showed that US online retail (excluding travel) was up 17% during 2007 to $175bn (£88bn) - equivalent to 6% of all US retail sales. Sales for this year are expected to grow about 16% to $204bn (£103bn) - 7% of all US retail. Online clothing remained the most valuable category in 2007 at $22.7bn (£11.45bn), followed by computer hardware, peripherals and software with $20.7bn (£10.44bn).
The Financial Times: http://www.ft.com, 08/04/2008

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Trends

Revenues for British digital publishers up 52%

UK digital publishers saw a total year-on-year increase in digital revenues of 52% according to the Association of Online Publishers' (AOP) sixth annual census. Online advertising revenues were also up 33% while content revenues grew 68%.
According to the census AOP members expect business growth of 8% during 2008 with digital revenues anticipated to rise 31%. In a further sign of confidence 80% also said that they would be hiring more digital staff during the year.
From Netimperative: http://www.netimperative.com, 09/04/2008
AOP: http://www.ukaop.org.uk
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Mobile

Mobile banking set to take off

Juniper Research's latest study claims that mobile banking is set for a major surge in popularity, writes ENN. The study predicts that by 2011, 816m customers will bank via their mobile phones - a tenfold increase on the figure for 2007. The number of transactions is also set to explode, rising from 2007's total of 2.7bn to 37bn in 2011 as customers are able to carry out further types of transactions from their phones.
From ENN: http://www.enn.ie, 16/04/2008
Juniper Research: http://www.juniperresearch.com
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Broadcasting

BBC iPlayer to launch on Nintendo Wii
The BBC is to make its iPlayer catch-up service available through the Nintendo Wii, writes Brand Republic. This will bring the iPlayer directly to the televisions of the UK's 2.4m Wii owners. iPlayer usage has grown 25% each month during its first-quarter and 42m shows have now been accessed on demand since its launch on Christmas Day. The list of most popular shows includes 'The Apprentice', 'Gavin and Stacey', 'Ashes to Ashes', 'EastEnders' and 'Torchwood'.
From Brand Republic: http://www.brandrepublic.com, 10/04/2008
BBC iPlayer: http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer
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Statistics

Top UK searches: 2007 retrospective from Hitwise
Latest data from Hitwise looks back on 2007 and firms up the most searched for terms on the web among UK audiences. Ranked in order: 1 ebay, 2 bebo, 3 youtube, 4 facebook, 5 myspace, 6 argos (the UK retailer), 7 amazon, 8 you tube, 9 bbc, 10 tesco.
Hitwise: http://www.hitwise.co.uk

Top websites: Hitwise chart toppers in 50 categories (UK)
The Hitwise UK Annual Online Performance Awards serve up a list of best in class category winners for website traffic throughout 2007. Published this month, the Hitwise team collate data and compare across a large number of services in the same category. What's interesting is that it's the dotcom pureplays who steal the show, nudging out the newspapers, magazines and broadcast media brands that compete in key industry sectors.
Read the full list at the Meadows-Klue on Media blog: http://www.digitalstrategyconsulting.com/blogs

Hitwise: http://www.hitwise.co.uk

Monthly internet usage statistics for the UK, March 2008

Source: Nielsen/NetRatings Home/Work Panel monthly statistics
Nielsen Online: http://www.nielsen-online.com

Monthly top ten UK parent companies for March 2008

Source: Nielsen/NetRatings Home/Work Panel monthly statistics
Nielsen Online: http://www.nielsen-online.com

Top 10 popular websites in the UK, March 2008

This list features the most popular websites based on UK Internet usage for March 2008, ranked by market share of visits across all Hitwise industries.
Source: Hitwise Datacentre, February 2008, based on market share of visits
Hitwise: http://www.hitwise.co.uk/datacenter

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