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Digital Intelligence
The monthly review of new research and developments in digital marketing

November 2008

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Digital Strategy Consulting


Tough times trigger changes in strategy. As growth in the US online ad sector slows to just 11%, Google and MySpace unveil new models for monetising their social media content. In the run up to Christmas retail sales forecasts make depressing reading for high street shops, but online stores confidently plan to poach their consumers - accelerating the restructure in retailing. And as the UK's flagship BBC channels launch online simulcasts, mobile internet use rises steeply; more channel shift is to come.

Follow the links to find out more in this month's round-up, and if you're working on strategy reviews for 2009 then let us know if our specialists can support.

Best from all @ Digital


Danny Meadows-Klue
Founder and Chief Executive
Digital Strategy Consulting

 

Advertising

Q3 online adspend revenues up 11% in US
The latest online adspend figures from IAB US and PwC show that revenues grew 11% year-on-year to reach $5.87bn (£3.81bn) - the second-highest quarterly result ever achieved. Against Q2 though, revenues only grew 2%. For the first nine months of the year US online ad revenues totalled $17.3bn (£11.24bn) (from $15.2bn (£9.9bn) in 2007) - up 14% year on year. Randall Rothenberg, President and CEO of IAB US said: "Interactive advertising continues to be the most measurable and cost-effective way to reach consumers, and we see more and more marketers seeking to harness its power."
IAB US: http://www.iab.net, 20/11/2008

Quarterly $ Revenue Growth Comparison - 2000-2008 YTD

Quarterly $ Revenue Growth Comparison - 2000-2008 YTD

Source: IAB US
IAB US: http://www.iab.net

Key Note survey forecasts strong growth for online advertising
A new study from Key Note predicts that online adspend will continue to show strong growth through the rest of 2008 and into 2012, writes Brand Republic. The firm expects online to grow 31.4% in the UK over the course of this year. Figures from IAB UK put online adspend at £1.7bn for the first half of 2008, up 21% while the latest Bellwether Report forecast that online would remain strong as companies cut their marketing costs. Online advertising in the UK continues to be driven by the growing use of broadband services with Key Note reporting that 93% of respondents to their survey go online at home. The report also found that marketers had so far "under-exploited" the possibilities presented by social networking sites as a means of engaging consumers.
From Brand Republic: http://www.brandrepublic.com, 31/10/2008
Key Note: http://www.keynote.co.uk

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Ecommerce

Online retail set for 15% increase over Christmas

The latest figures from the IMRG Capgemini e-Retail Sales Index forecast that online retail will grow 15% year-on-year during the fourth quarter to reach £13.16bn, writes Netimperative. The figure represents a £215 online spend for every person in the UK. However growth will be significantly lower than last year when online retail rose 54% from 2006. Monday 8th December is expected to be the busiest day for online shopping with sales of up to £320m predicted.
Further research from JupiterResearch commissioned by LinkShare estimates that the average UK consumer will spend 40% more online than the average US consumer and will make 24% more of their purchases online. UK consumers are eight times more likely to carry out online research across multiple sites before buying online and are also 13% more likely to be frequent online shoppers than US internet users.
According to the annual Deloitte Christmas Retail Survey which looks at total retail spending, British shoppers are expected to spend on average £655 in total this Christmas - equivalent to 7% less than last year. However 19% of consumers still intend to spend more.

From Netimperative: http://www.netimperative.com, 10/11/2008
IMRG: http://www.imrg.org

Online sales in US to grow 7.2% during 2008
Based on the latest Q3 ecommerce data from the US Department of Commerce (DOC), eMarketer now predicts that online sales (excluding travel) will grow 7.2% year-on-year in 2008 to reach nearly $137bn (£89bn). This compares to last year when online sales grew 19.8%. The firm expects that consumers will spend $30.3bn (£19.7bn) online this year during November and December - equivalent to year-on-year growth of 4%.
From eMarketer: http://www.emarketer.com, 24/11/2008

US retail ecommerce sales, 2007-2012 (billions and % change)

US retail ecommerce sales, 2007-2012 (billions and % change)

Source: eMarketer
eMarketer
: http://www.emarketer.com

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Companies

Google uses AdWords model to profit from YouTube

GGoogle is bringing in a variation of its AdWords model to YouTube in an effort to raise revenues from the leading online video site, writes The Financial Times. The new YouTube Sponsored Video service will allow YouTube users to promote their videos in a special sponsored video section. Users can then bid on keywords to promote their sponsored videos, paying for them on a cost-per-click basis. The service has no minimum spending requirement and users can specify a daily budget. If the service takes off Google can look forward to a whole new search-based profit stream: recent figures from comScore found that YouTube received more search queries in September than any other website other than Google and Yahoo!.
YouTube is also going to start offering ad-supported full-length feature films. The site has announced a new deal with studio Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer (MGM), which will see a number of branded content channels offering free-to-watch films and TV shows including "Bulletproof Monk" and "The Magnificent Seven". The news follows the deal announced with CBS reported in last month's Digital Intelligence.

From The Financial Times: http://www.ft.com, 13/11/2008
YouTube
: http://www.youtube.com

MySpace to generate revenues from copyrighted content
MySpace in implementing a novel way of generating ad revenues and resolving copyright issues with regards to copyrighted video clips uploaded by users, writes Netimperative. Using new technology from Auditude all clips uploaded to the social networking service will be scanned and compared against a library of 1bn minutes of content. The system can then automatically insert ads into videos which contain professional content, with MySpace sharing revenues with the original content copyright holders. Clips will also feature system-generated overlay bars with information about the clip and links to buy original episodes or films. MTV Networks have already signed up as partners to the service and MySpace have said that further ad formats and partners will follow. The firm has also said that it will still remove clips at the request of copyright owners.
MySpace has also launched its new "Profile 2.0" user interface, giving users new tools and features for editing their profiles. Layouts can now be changed using a drag-and-drop interface and users can create categories for different contacts allowing them to select what information different groups of people can see.
MySpace has now overtaken Yahoo! as the leading publisher of online display ads in the US, accounting for 15.9% of all display ads in June. According to comScore the site attracted 75m unique users in the US and 122m unique users worldwide.

From Netimperative: http://www.netimperative.com, 06/11/2008
MySpace: http://www.myspace.com

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Trends

UK now a nation of web-obsessed surfers
67% of Brits now think that internet access is more vital than access to a car (54%) or washing machine (58%), writes Netimperative. The results, taken from new research by YouGov on behalf of AMD also found that 57% of respondents use social networking sites and that 56% would rather shop online than go shopping on the high street at Christmas (54%) or socialise with friends (49%). 78% of Brits have also uploaded digital photos, while 75% have gone online to watch YouTube videos (88% of men against 63% of women). In general, men prefer content (71% have downloaded music against 62% of women), while women prefer communication (53% use instant messenger against 47% of men).
From Netimperative: http://www.netimperative.com, 19/11/2008
AMD: http://www.amd.com

Over 14m UK internet users visited a blog during August
New research from comScore has found that 14.5m people in the UK visited at least one blog in August, writes Netimperative. The figure equates to 41% of the UK's total internet audience. The top individual blog for the month was Engadget.com (with 243,000 visitors) followed by UnrealityTV.co.uk (225,000 visitors) and Gizmodo.com (with 223,000 visitors). The most popular blogging platform in the UK remains Google-owned Blogger.com (with 9m visitors) followed by WordPress (4.8m) and Six Apart-owned sites (2.7m).
From Netimperative: http://www.netimperative.com, 31/10/2008
comScore: http://www.comscore.com

A selection of leading blog platforms ranked by total UK unique visitors (000) *

A selection of leading blog platforms ranked by total UK unique visitors (000)

Age 15+ - Home & Work Locations, August 2008

* Excludes traffic from public computers such as Internet cafes or access from mobile phones or PDAs

Source: comScore
comScore: http://www.comscore.com

A selection of leading individual blogs ranked by total UK unique visitors (000)*

A selection of leading individual blogs ranked by total UK unique visitors (000)

Age 15+ - Home & Work Locations, August 2008

* Excludes traffic from public computers such as Internet cafes or access from mobile phones or PDAs

Source: comScore
comScore: http://www.comscore.com

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Mobile

"Ads for calls": a new culture emerging in mobile
The latest wave of research into consumer attitudes for mobile advertising is confirming consumer acceptance of lower call charges in exchange for exposure to advertising, writes Marketing Vox. What began as a youth behaviour appears to be spreading with two-thirds (61%) of mobile users willing to view advertising on their handsets in exchange for discounts off calls. The research by Transverse and iGR reflects a changing culture in consumer expectations of access.
From Marketing Vox: http://www.marketingvox.com, 20/11/2008
Transverse: http://www.gotransverse.com

Would you be willing to view advertisements on your mobile in exchange for an incentive?

A selection of leading blog platforms ranked by total UK unique visitors (000)

Source: Transverse
Transverse: http://www.gotransverse.com

Under what conditions would you be willing to view these ads?

A selection of leading individual blogs ranked by total UK unique visitors (000)

Source: Transverse
Transverse: http://www.gotransverse.com

Mobile internet usage grows 25% in UK
The first Mobile Media study from Nielsen Online has found that mobile internet use has grown eight times more than traditional PC-based usage during 2008, writes Brand Republic. Between Q2 and Q3 mobile internet use rose 25% (from 5.8m to 7.3m users) while PC-based use grew only 3% (from 34.3m to 25.3m). Mobile internet use is rising among young people, with one-in-four users aged 15-24 compared to only one-in-eight PC-based users.
BBC News is the most popular mobile internet website receiving 1.7m unique users in Q3.
From Brand Republic: http://www.brandrepublic.com, 24/11/2008
Nielsen Online: http://www.nielsen-online.com

64% of UK consumers have entered contests with their mobiles
The "2008 Annual Global Mobile Attitude and Usage Survey" from the Mobile Marketing Association (MMA) has found that 8% of Western European consumers have taken part in some form of mobile marketing during the last year, writes ClickZ. In addition, one third of consumers have said that they are "interested" in mobile marketing. In the UK, the survey found that 64% of respondents have used text-based contests or voting with their mobiles, while 25% use SMS alert services. It also showed that 10% of those polled in the UK use mobile internet services each week.
From ClickZ: http://www.clickz.com, 17/11/2008
MMA UK Chapter: http://www.mmaglobal.com/uk

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Broadcasting

UK tops US and France for digital TV
The third International Communications Market Report from Ofcom has found that the UK has the highest penetration of digital TV services of all the larger countries surveyed, with 86% of British households now using digital services on their main TV sets (up 9% on last year), writes Brand Republic. The US and France follow with 70% and 66% respectively. The study has also revealed that ad revenues are no longer the main source of commercial TV funding as a result of the growing use of pay-TV services and Digital Video Recorders (DVRs). Global TV advertising generated 49% of revenues (£81bn) - a decrease of 50% on 2007. However, subscription revenues rose 2% to 43% to reach £71bn.
The UK also leads Europe in the number of High-definition (HD) enabled households, with 700,000 (6%) - higher than the combined figure for France, Germany and Italy (500,000). The US has the highest number of households with HD subscriptions at 6m (6.2%) though Canada leads on penetration at 17.6% (with 2m households). British consumers also come first for DVR use, with 30% using the devices compared to 21% in both Italy and Canada, and 20% in the US.
According to the report the UK benefits from competitive pricing bundles with a typical triple-play package (with landline, four mobile phones, pay-TV and broadband access) costing £104/month compared to £114 in Italy and £131 in France.
From Brand Republic: http://www.brandrepublic.com, 20/11/2008
Ofcom: http://www.ofcom.org.uk

BBC to broadcast BBC1 and BBC2 live online
British viewers will be able to watch both BBC1 and BBC2 live online through the bbc.co.uk website and the BBC's iPlayer service from the end of November, writes Brand Republic. The corporation already provides BBC News, BBC3, BBC4, CBBC and CBeebies online in real-time. The online live broadcast service is being run as a 12-month trial. Speaking of the launch BBC Vision director Jana Bennett said, "The launch of BBC One and BBC Two online completes our commitment to make our portfolio of channels available to watch on the internet."
iPlayer usage has continued to grow all year, and according to the new "Olswang Convergence Consumer Survey 2008" 24% of consumers now use the service to watch programmes for at least one hour per week. The service is set for another big upgrade following approval from the BBC Trust for upgrades to the iPlayer which will enable users to pre-book programmes up to 7 days before broadcast and download them for viewing.
From Brand Republic: http://www.brandrepublic.com, 19/11/2008
BBC: http://www.bbc.co.uk

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Statistics

Monthly internet usage statistics for France, October 2008

Source: Nielsen/NetRatings Home/Work Panel monthly statistics
Nielsen Online: http://www.nielsen-online.com

Monthly top ten French parent companies for October 2008

Source: Nielsen/NetRatings Home/Work Panel monthly statistics
Nielsen Online: http://www.nielsen-online.com

Top 10 popular websites in the UK, October 2008

This list features the most popular websites based on UK Internet usage for October 2008, ranked by market share of visits across all Hitwise industries.
Source: Hitwise Datacentre, October 2008, based on market share of visits
Hitwise: http://www.hitwise.co.uk/datacenter

Worldwide Active Internet Home Users, September 2008

Source: Nielsen Online, 2008
Nielsen Online: http://www.nielsen-online.com

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